MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Nocturne vs Graves
Nocturne vs Graves in Jungle: who wins more often?
Across 4,928 ranked games in Jungle, Nocturne beats Graves in 50% of them.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Nocturne behind by 180 gold.
Nocturne at 15:00
- Gold: -180
- CS: -5
- XP: -129
Typical gap to Graves, from 4,902 games that reached 15:00.
Does Nocturne counter Graves?
Even on the count: Nocturne lands at 50% over 4,928 games. Neither pick wins the lane alone, so take the side you play better and use the rows below to see which early spots swing this one, then play your first ten minutes around them.
Your Nocturne game plan against Graves
With a gold lead at 10:00, Nocturne wins 60% of 2,227 games in this matchup. Behind at the same mark, the rate drops to 41% over 2,700.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 60% | 2,227 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 41% | 2,700 |
| First blood | 55% | 3,255 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 58% | 2,056 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 58% | 2,196 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 60% | 1,682 |
| 0 deaths at 15:00 | 68% | 788 |
In the median game here, the first death comes near 7:25 and level 6 lands around 6:55. Until your spike is online, treat the all-in window with respect.
Nocturne in Jungle: the items that actually get built
Into Graves specifically, Nocturne finishes Experimental Hexplate first most often: 51.2% over 1,259 games of this matchup.
The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Experimental Hexplate, Stridebreaker, Black Cleaver: 56.9% across 269 games.
The most-finished Nocturne core is Experimental Hexplate, Stridebreaker, Black Cleaver: 55.2% across 4,609 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Scorchclaw Pup + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Experimental Hexplate (21,998 games).
Skill plan: Nocturne players max Q first and take Q at level 1.