MacroMind matchup data — real ranked games, not opinions
Nocturne vs Evelynn
In Jungle, Nocturne wins 48% against Evelynn across 735 observed ranked games. This is an observed win rate shown with its sample size, not a prediction or a guaranteed counter.
By 15 minutes the median game has Nocturne ahead by 40 gold.
Does Nocturne counter Evelynn?
The numbers call it close: 48% for Nocturne over 735 games, inside the noise band. Pick the side you play better.
How to beat Evelynn as Nocturne
Turn the early game into gold: 300 up at 10:00 runs this matchup at 56% over 383 games; 300 behind drops it to 39% over 350.
The median first death in this lane comes at 7:41; the level 6 spike lands around 6:52. Respect the all-in window until your spike is online.