MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Naafiri vs Nocturne
How often does Naafiri beat Nocturne in Jungle?
Naafiri into Nocturne in Jungle: 45% observed win rate across 2,779 ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Naafiri behind by 97 gold.
Naafiri at 15:00
- Gold: -97
- CS: -1
- XP: -145
Typical gap to Nocturne, from 2,766 games that reached 15:00.
Does Naafiri counter Nocturne?
The count says no. Nocturne holds 55% of 2,779 ranked Jungle games here. The lane is still winnable. Naafiri wins it back from the spots below, so learn which ones swing it before you lock in Naafiri against Nocturne, and play for those first.
Beating Nocturne: the Naafiri game plan
A gold lead at 10:00 puts Naafiri at 55% across 1,293 games. Flip the lead and Naafiri falls to 36% across 1,486.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 55% | 1,293 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 36% | 1,486 |
| First blood | 48% | 1,744 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 55% | 992 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 53% | 1,255 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 54% | 861 |
| 0 deaths at 15:00 | 65% | 301 |
Someone usually dies here around 7:19 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 7:00. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.
Naafiri's Jungle build, with receipts
Into Nocturne specifically, Naafiri finishes Hubris first most often: 44.0% over 630 games of this matchup.
The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Hubris, Axiom Arc, Serylda's Grudge: 41.2% across 148 games.
The most-finished Naafiri core is Hubris, Axiom Arc, Serylda's Grudge: 53.8% across 3,498 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Scorchclaw Pup + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Hubris (14,279 games).
Skill plan: Naafiri players max Q first and take Q at level 1.