MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions

Mel vs Swain

What is Mel's win rate vs Swain?

In ADC, Mel wins 51% against Swain across 169 observed ranked games.

Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.

By 15 minutes the median game has Mel ahead by 704 gold.

Mel at 15:00

Typical gap to Swain, from 168 games that reached 15:00.

Does Mel counter Swain?

Too close to call. Mel sits at 51% over 169 games, so neither pick counters the other here. The lane goes to whoever wins the spots below, like the gold lead at 10:00 or staying alive until 15:00, so play for those and let the pick argument go.

How to beat Swain as Mel

When Mel is ahead in gold at 10:00, this matchup runs 56% over 122 games; behind, it drops to 38% over 47.

The spotWin rateGames
Ahead in gold at 10:0056%122
Behind in gold at 10:0038%47
First blood55%109
+kills at 10:0061%93
+CS at 10:0053%135
0 deaths at 10:0065%51

The median first death in this lane comes at 6:38; the level 6 spike lands around 7:11. Respect the all-in window until your spike is online.

What does Mel build in ADC?

Into Swain specifically, Mel finishes Luden's Echo first most often: 40.0% over 40 games of this matchup.

The most-finished Mel core is Luden's Echo, Shadowflame, Rabadon's Deathcap: 50.1% across 1,850 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.

Most games start Doran's Ring + Health Potion + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Luden's Echo (5,516 games).

Skill plan: Mel players max Q first and take Q at level 1.

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