MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions

Mel vs Caitlyn

How often does Mel beat Caitlyn in ADC?

Mel into Caitlyn in ADC: 52% observed win rate across 1,899 ranked games.

Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.

By 15 minutes the median game has Mel ahead by 714 gold.

Mel at 15:00

Typical gap to Caitlyn, from 1,889 games that reached 15:00.

Does Mel counter Caitlyn?

No counter here: Mel sits at 52% over 1,899 games. The swing lives in the spots below, so play the side you know better and chase the row that moves the number the most in this lane, then hold that lead through the first back.

Beating Caitlyn: the Mel game plan

A gold lead at 10:00 puts Mel at 58% across 1,221 games. Flip the lead and Mel falls to 42% across 677.

The spotWin rateGames
Ahead in gold at 10:0058%1,221
Behind in gold at 10:0042%677
First blood56%1,290
+kills at 10:0058%1,106
+CS at 10:0056%1,087
0 deaths at 10:0059%568
0 deaths at 15:0068%266

Someone usually dies here around 6:13 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 7:08. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.

Mel's ADC build, with receipts

Into Caitlyn specifically, Mel finishes Luden's Echo first most often: 55.2% over 487 games of this matchup.

The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Luden's Echo, Shadowflame, Rabadon's Deathcap: 58.2% across 170 games.

The most-finished Mel core is Luden's Echo, Shadowflame, Rabadon's Deathcap: 50.1% across 1,850 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.

Most games start Doran's Ring + Health Potion + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Luden's Echo (5,516 games).

Skill plan: Mel players max Q first and take Q at level 1.

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