MacroMind matchup data — real ranked games, not opinions
Lux vs Caitlyn
How often does Lux beat Caitlyn in ADC?
Lux into Caitlyn in ADC: 57% observed win rate across 930 ranked games. Counted from real matches, and every number here shows its sample size.
By 15 minutes the median game has Lux ahead by 357 gold.
Does Lux counter Caitlyn?
The numbers say yes: across 930 ranked ADC games into Caitlyn, Lux takes 57% — past the noise band for this sample. Read from Caitlyn's side, the same games give the mirror rate, and every number here shows the games behind it.
Beating Caitlyn: the Lux game plan
A 300-gold lead at 10:00 puts Lux at 64% across 487 games. Flip the lead and Lux falls to 49% across 442.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| 300 gold up at 10:00 | 64% | 487 |
| 300 gold down at 10:00 | 49% | 442 |
| First blood | 63% | 545 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 65% | 435 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 64% | 368 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 65% | 295 |
| 0 deaths at 15:00 | 72% | 140 |
Someone usually dies here around 6:05 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 7:15. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.
Lux's ADC build, with receipts
Into Caitlyn specifically, Lux finishes Malignance first most often: 58.2% over 294 games of this matchup.
The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Malignance, Stormsurge, Shadowflame: 51.9% across 106 games.
The most-finished Lux core is Malignance, Stormsurge, Shadowflame: 53.5% across 1,220 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 16.1-16.12.
Most games start Doran's Ring + Health Potion + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Malignance (3,484 games).
Skill plan: Lux players max E first and take E at level 1.