MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Lux vs Caitlyn
How often does Lux beat Caitlyn in ADC?
Lux into Caitlyn in ADC: 57% observed win rate across 930 ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Lux ahead by 357 gold.
Lux at 15:00
- Gold: +357
- CS: -1
- XP: +448
Typical gap to Caitlyn, from 921 games that reached 15:00.
Does Lux counter Caitlyn?
The count says yes: across 930 ranked ADC games into Caitlyn, Lux takes 57%. That edge is worth playing for. Check the rows below to see how much a gold lead at 10:00 adds, and what a bad start costs Lux.
Beating Caitlyn: the Lux game plan
A gold lead at 10:00 puts Lux at 65% across 487 games. Flip the lead and Lux falls to 49% across 442.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 65% | 487 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 49% | 442 |
| First blood | 63% | 545 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 65% | 435 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 64% | 368 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 65% | 295 |
| 0 deaths at 15:00 | 72% | 140 |
Someone usually dies here around 6:05 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 7:15. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.
Lux's ADC build, with receipts
Into Caitlyn specifically, Lux finishes Malignance first most often: 58.2% over 294 games of this matchup.
The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Malignance, Stormsurge, Shadowflame: 51.9% across 106 games.
The most-finished Lux core is Malignance, Stormsurge, Shadowflame: 53.5% across 1,220 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Doran's Ring + Health Potion + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Malignance (3,484 games).
Skill plan: Lux players max E first and take E at level 1.