MacroMind matchup data — real ranked games, not opinions

Lucian vs Aurelion Sol

How often does Lucian beat Aurelion Sol in ADC?

Lucian into Aurelion Sol in ADC: 46% observed win rate across 333 ranked games. Counted from real matches, and every number here shows its sample size.

By 15 minutes the median game has Lucian ahead by 817 gold.

Does Lucian counter Aurelion Sol?

Too close for a counter call: Lucian sits at 46% over 333 games, inside the noise band. On this sample neither pick counters the other — the swing lives in the conditions below, so play the side you know better.

Beating Aurelion Sol: the Lucian game plan

A 300-gold lead at 10:00 puts Lucian at 50% across 254 games. Flip the lead and Lucian falls to 33% across 79.

The spotWin rateGames
300 gold up at 10:0050%254
300 gold down at 10:0033%79
First blood48%241
+kills at 10:0053%186
+CS at 10:0049%237
0 deaths at 10:0056%108

Someone usually dies here around 6:51 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 7:18. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.

Lucian's ADC build, with receipts

Into Aurelion Sol specifically, Lucian finishes Essence Reaver first most often: 45.5% over 145 games of this matchup.

The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Essence Reaver, Navori Flickerblade, Infinity Edge: 48.3% across 60 games.

The most-finished Lucian core is Essence Reaver, Navori Flickerblade, Infinity Edge: 54.5% across 23,217 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 16.1-16.12.

Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Essence Reaver (56,607 games).

Skill plan: Lucian players max Q first and take Q at level 1.