MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Kog'Maw vs Smolder
What is Kog'Maw's win rate vs Smolder?
In ADC, Kog'Maw wins 51% against Smolder across 1,362 observed ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Kog'Maw ahead by 394 gold.
Kog'Maw at 15:00
- Gold: +394
- CS: +4
- XP: +95
Typical gap to Smolder, from 1,356 games that reached 15:00.
Does Kog'Maw counter Smolder?
Too close to call. Kog'Maw sits at 51% over 1,362 games, so neither pick counters the other here. The lane goes to whoever wins the spots below, like the gold lead at 10:00 or staying alive until 15:00, so play for those and let the pick argument go.
How to beat Smolder as Kog'Maw
When Kog'Maw is ahead in gold at 10:00, this matchup runs 58% over 872 games; behind, it drops to 38% over 489.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 58% | 872 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 38% | 489 |
| First blood | 56% | 662 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 60% | 672 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 56% | 804 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 55% | 282 |
| 0 deaths at 15:00 | 63% | 87 |
The median first death in this lane comes at 4:53; the level 6 spike lands around 7:33. Respect the all-in window until your spike is online.
What does Kog'Maw build in ADC?
Into Smolder specifically, Kog'Maw finishes Guinsoo's Rageblade first most often: 47.9% over 311 games of this matchup.
The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Blade of The Ruined King, Guinsoo's Rageblade, Runaan's Hurricane: 56.6% across 113 games.
The most-finished Kog'Maw core is Blade of The Ruined King, Guinsoo's Rageblade, Runaan's Hurricane: 55.8% across 1,775 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Guinsoo's Rageblade (4,901 games).
Skill plan: Kog'Maw players max W first and take W at level 1.