MacroMind matchup data — real ranked games, not opinions
Kog'Maw vs Caitlyn
How often does Kog'Maw beat Caitlyn in ADC?
Kog'Maw into Caitlyn in ADC: 51% observed win rate across 1,864 ranked games. Counted from real matches, and every number here shows its sample size.
By 15 minutes the median game has Kog'Maw behind by 308 gold.
Does Kog'Maw counter Caitlyn?
Too close for a counter call: Kog'Maw sits at 51% over 1,864 games, inside the noise band. On this sample neither pick counters the other — the swing lives in the conditions below, so play the side you know better.
Beating Caitlyn: the Kog'Maw game plan
A 300-gold lead at 10:00 puts Kog'Maw at 60% across 762 games. Flip the lead and Kog'Maw falls to 44% across 1,102.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| 300 gold up at 10:00 | 60% | 762 |
| 300 gold down at 10:00 | 44% | 1,102 |
| First blood | 54% | 831 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 60% | 731 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 61% | 533 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 52% | 353 |
| 0 deaths at 15:00 | 58% | 129 |
Someone usually dies here around 4:44 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 7:37. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.
Kog'Maw's ADC build, with receipts
Into Caitlyn specifically, Kog'Maw finishes Guinsoo's Rageblade first most often: 50.4% over 347 games of this matchup.
The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Blade of The Ruined King, Guinsoo's Rageblade, Runaan's Hurricane: 51.1% across 139 games.
The most-finished Kog'Maw core is Blade of The Ruined King, Guinsoo's Rageblade, Runaan's Hurricane: 55.8% across 1,775 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 16.1-16.12.
Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Guinsoo's Rageblade (4,901 games).
Skill plan: Kog'Maw players max W first and take W at level 1.