MacroMind matchup data — real ranked games, not opinions
Katarina vs Lux
Katarina vs Lux in Mid: who wins more often?
Across 2,036 ranked games in Mid, Katarina beats Lux in 49% of them. Observed from real matches — the sample size sits next to the rate, here and on every number below.
By 15 minutes the median game has Katarina ahead by 74 gold.
Does Katarina counter Lux?
No counter call here: Katarina lands at 49% over 2,036 games, inside the noise band for a sample this size. Neither pick wins the lane on its own — the swing lives in the spots below, so take the side you play better and use the receipts.
Your Katarina game plan against Lux
With a 300-gold lead at 10:00, Katarina wins 60% of 990 games in this matchup. Down 300 at the same mark, the rate drops to 40% over 1,046.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| 300 gold up at 10:00 | 60% | 990 |
| 300 gold down at 10:00 | 40% | 1,046 |
| First blood | 56% | 1,049 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 59% | 1,003 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 60% | 533 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 61% | 347 |
| 0 deaths at 15:00 | 71% | 137 |
In the median game here, the first death comes near 4:47 and level 6 lands around 5:35. Until your spike is online, treat the all-in window with respect.
Katarina in Mid: the items that actually get built
Into Lux specifically, Katarina finishes Hextech Gunblade first most often: 48.6% over 473 games of this matchup.
The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Lich Bane, Shadowflame, Zhonya's Hourglass: 53.5% across 114 games.
The most-finished Katarina core is Lich Bane, Shadowflame, Zhonya's Hourglass: 54.7% across 5,566 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 16.1-16.12.
Most games start Dark Seal + Refillable Potion; the first finished item is usually Hextech Gunblade (22,295 games).
Skill plan: Katarina players max Q first and take Q at level 1.