MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions

Katarina vs Gragas

What is Katarina's win rate vs Gragas?

In Mid, Katarina wins 47% against Gragas across 303 observed ranked games.

Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.

By 15 minutes the median game has Katarina behind by 245 gold.

Katarina at 15:00

Typical gap to Gragas, from 302 games that reached 15:00.

Does Katarina counter Gragas?

Too close to call. Katarina sits at 47% over 303 games, so neither pick counters the other here. The lane goes to whoever wins the spots below, like the gold lead at 10:00 or staying alive until 15:00, so play for those and let the pick argument go.

How to beat Gragas as Katarina

When Katarina is ahead in gold at 10:00, this matchup runs 63% over 130 games; behind, it drops to 35% over 173.

The spotWin rateGames
Ahead in gold at 10:0063%130
Behind in gold at 10:0035%173
First blood57%151
+kills at 10:0058%137
+CS at 10:0066%84
0 deaths at 10:0064%44

The median first death in this lane comes at 4:10; the level 6 spike lands around 5:32. Respect the all-in window until your spike is online.

What does Katarina build in Mid?

Into Gragas specifically, Katarina finishes Hextech Gunblade first most often: 48.1% over 52 games of this matchup.

The most-finished Katarina core is Lich Bane, Shadowflame, Zhonya's Hourglass: 54.7% across 5,566 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.

Most games start Dark Seal + Refillable Potion; the first finished item is usually Hextech Gunblade (22,295 games).

Skill plan: Katarina players max Q first and take Q at level 1.

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