MacroMind matchup data — real ranked games, not opinions

Kalista vs Caitlyn

How often does Kalista beat Caitlyn in ADC?

Kalista into Caitlyn in ADC: 48% observed win rate across 1,407 ranked games. Counted from real matches, and every number here shows its sample size.

By 15 minutes the median game has Kalista ahead by 249 gold.

Does Kalista counter Caitlyn?

Too close for a counter call: Kalista sits at 48% over 1,407 games, inside the noise band. On this sample neither pick counters the other — the swing lives in the conditions below, so play the side you know better.

Beating Caitlyn: the Kalista game plan

A 300-gold lead at 10:00 puts Kalista at 58% across 789 games. Flip the lead and Kalista falls to 34% across 617.

The spotWin rateGames
300 gold up at 10:0058%789
300 gold down at 10:0034%617
First blood54%797
+kills at 10:0058%713
+CS at 10:0059%608
0 deaths at 10:0056%213
0 deaths at 15:0068%71

Someone usually dies here around 3:55 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 7:35. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.

Kalista's ADC build, with receipts

Into Caitlyn specifically, Kalista finishes Blade of The Ruined King first most often: 45.1% over 377 games of this matchup.

The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Blade of The Ruined King, Guinsoo's Rageblade, Terminus: 46.9% across 162 games.

The most-finished Kalista core is Blade of The Ruined King, Guinsoo's Rageblade, Terminus: 51.7% across 2,584 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 16.1-16.12.

Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Blade of The Ruined King (5,857 games).

Skill plan: Kalista players max E first and take E at level 1.