MacroMind matchup data — real ranked games, not opinions
Kai'Sa vs Caitlyn
How often does Kai'Sa beat Caitlyn in ADC?
Kai'Sa into Caitlyn in ADC: 50% observed win rate across 16,033 ranked games. Counted from real matches, and every number here shows its sample size.
By 15 minutes the median game has Kai'Sa behind by 196 gold.
Does Kai'Sa counter Caitlyn?
Too close for a counter call: Kai'Sa sits at 50% over 16,033 games, inside the noise band. On this sample neither pick counters the other — the swing lives in the conditions below, so play the side you know better.
Beating Caitlyn: the Kai'Sa game plan
A 300-gold lead at 10:00 puts Kai'Sa at 62% across 6,985 games. Flip the lead and Kai'Sa falls to 41% across 9,041.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| 300 gold up at 10:00 | 62% | 6,985 |
| 300 gold down at 10:00 | 41% | 9,041 |
| First blood | 55% | 9,329 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 61% | 6,940 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 61% | 5,390 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 58% | 3,972 |
| 0 deaths at 15:00 | 67% | 1,438 |
Someone usually dies here around 5:41 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 7:35. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.
Kai'Sa's ADC build, with receipts
Into Caitlyn specifically, Kai'Sa finishes Kraken Slayer first most often: 49.9% over 5,968 games of this matchup.
The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Kraken Slayer, Guinsoo's Rageblade, Dusk and Dawn: 55.1% across 2,081 games.
The most-finished Kai'Sa core is Kraken Slayer, Guinsoo's Rageblade, Dusk and Dawn: 53.5% across 26,866 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 16.1-16.12.
Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Kraken Slayer (83,293 games).
Skill plan: Kai'Sa players max Q first and take Q at level 1.