MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Jayce vs Nocturne
How often does Jayce beat Nocturne in Jungle?
Jayce into Nocturne in Jungle: 48% observed win rate across 789 ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Jayce ahead by 493 gold.
Jayce at 15:00
- Gold: +493
- CS: +3
- XP: +110
Typical gap to Nocturne, from 784 games that reached 15:00.
Does Jayce counter Nocturne?
No counter here: Jayce sits at 48% over 789 games. The swing lives in the spots below, so play the side you know better and chase the row that moves the number the most in this lane, then hold that lead through the first back.
Beating Nocturne: the Jayce game plan
A gold lead at 10:00 puts Jayce at 55% across 491 games. Flip the lead and Jayce falls to 36% across 298.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 55% | 491 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 36% | 298 |
| First blood | 53% | 460 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 58% | 285 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 55% | 395 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 53% | 196 |
| 0 deaths at 15:00 | 67% | 75 |
Someone usually dies here around 6:23 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 6:55. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.
Jayce's Jungle build, with receipts
Into Nocturne specifically, Jayce finishes Youmuu's Ghostblade first most often: 47.6% over 275 games of this matchup.
The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Youmuu's Ghostblade, Opportunity, Edge of Night: 56.1% across 57 games.
The most-finished Jayce core is Youmuu's Ghostblade, Opportunity, Edge of Night: 52.3% across 3,541 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Scorchclaw Pup + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Youmuu's Ghostblade (14,088 games).
Skill plan: Jayce players max Q first and take Q at level 1.