MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Ivern vs Nocturne
How often does Ivern beat Nocturne in Jungle?
Ivern into Nocturne in Jungle: 50% observed win rate across 524 ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Ivern behind by 472 gold.
Ivern at 15:00
- Gold: -472
- CS: -14
- XP: -412
Typical gap to Nocturne, from 524 games that reached 15:00.
Does Ivern counter Nocturne?
No counter here: Ivern sits at 50% over 524 games. The swing lives in the spots below, so play the side you know better and chase the row that moves the number the most in this lane, then hold that lead through the first back.
Beating Nocturne: the Ivern game plan
A gold lead at 10:00 puts Ivern at 58% across 201 games. Flip the lead and Ivern falls to 45% across 322.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 58% | 201 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 45% | 322 |
| First blood | 56% | 274 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 57% | 127 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 58% | 123 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 58% | 205 |
| 0 deaths at 15:00 | 65% | 108 |
Someone usually dies here around 7:50 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 7:20. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.
Ivern's Jungle build, with receipts
Into Nocturne specifically, Ivern finishes Redemption first most often: 51.2% over 123 games of this matchup.
The most-finished Ivern core is Redemption, Moonstone Renewer, Ardent Censer: 54.3% across 858 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Gustwalker Hatchling; the first finished item is usually Redemption (3,804 games).
Skill plan: Ivern players max E first and take Q at level 1.