MacroMind matchup data — real ranked games, not opinions
Gragas vs Jarvan IV
How often does Gragas beat Jarvan IV in Jungle?
Gragas into Jarvan IV in Jungle: 52% observed win rate across 372 ranked games. Counted from real matches, and every number here shows its sample size.
By 15 minutes the median game has Gragas behind by 2 gold.
Does Gragas counter Jarvan IV?
Too close for a counter call: Gragas sits at 52% over 372 games, inside the noise band. On this sample neither pick counters the other — the swing lives in the conditions below, so play the side you know better.
Beating Jarvan IV: the Gragas game plan
A 300-gold lead at 10:00 puts Gragas at 60% across 176 games. Flip the lead and Gragas falls to 44% across 196.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| 300 gold up at 10:00 | 60% | 176 |
| 300 gold down at 10:00 | 44% | 196 |
| First blood | 58% | 244 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 59% | 150 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 58% | 147 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 66% | 125 |
| 0 deaths at 15:00 | 85% | 53 |
Someone usually dies here around 7:19 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 7:22. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.
Gragas's Jungle build, with receipts
Into Jarvan IV specifically, Gragas finishes Lich Bane first most often: 54.7% over 64 games of this matchup.
The most-finished Gragas core is Lich Bane, Shadowflame, Zhonya's Hourglass: 48.9% across 421 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 16.1-16.12.
Most games start Gustwalker Hatchling + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Lich Bane (2,260 games).
Skill plan: Gragas players max Q first and take W at level 1.