MacroMind matchup data — real ranked games, not opinions
Gragas vs Illaoi
What is Gragas's win rate vs Illaoi?
In Top, Gragas wins 48% against Illaoi across 403 observed ranked games. This is an observed win rate shown with its sample size, not a prediction or a guaranteed counter.
By 15 minutes the median game has Gragas behind by 781 gold.
Does Gragas counter Illaoi?
The numbers call it close: 48% for Gragas over 403 games, inside the noise band. Neither side counters the other on this sample — the lane swings on the spots below, so pick the side you play better and take the receipts with you.
How to beat Illaoi as Gragas
When Gragas is 300 gold up at 10:00, this matchup runs 57% over 123 games; 300 down, it drops to 44% over 280.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| 300 gold up at 10:00 | 57% | 123 |
| 300 gold down at 10:00 | 44% | 280 |
| First blood | 56% | 163 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 56% | 131 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 60% | 57 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 57% | 130 |
| 0 deaths at 15:00 | 59% | 58 |
The median first death in this lane comes at 6:53; the level 6 spike lands around 5:37. Respect the all-in window until your spike is online.
What does Gragas build in Top?
Into Illaoi specifically, Gragas finishes Rod of Ages first most often: 45.9% over 61 games of this matchup.
The most-finished Gragas core is Rod of Ages, Winter's Approach, Cosmic Drive: 52.7% across 763 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 16.1-16.12.
Most games start Doran's Ring + Health Potion + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Hextech Rocketbelt (6,382 games).
Skill plan: Gragas players max Q first and take Q at level 1.