MacroMind matchup data — real ranked games, not opinions

Gragas vs Graves

How often does Gragas beat Graves in Jungle?

Gragas into Graves in Jungle: 55% observed win rate across 663 ranked games. Counted from real matches, and every number here shows its sample size.

By 15 minutes the median game has Gragas behind by 273 gold.

Does Gragas counter Graves?

The numbers say yes: across 663 ranked Jungle games into Graves, Gragas takes 55% — past the noise band for this sample. Read from Graves's side, the same games give the mirror rate, and every number here shows the games behind it.

Beating Graves: the Gragas game plan

A 300-gold lead at 10:00 puts Gragas at 63% across 277 games. Flip the lead and Gragas falls to 48% across 386.

The spotWin rateGames
300 gold up at 10:0063%277
300 gold down at 10:0048%386
First blood61%436
+kills at 10:0060%273
+CS at 10:0063%169
0 deaths at 10:0062%210
0 deaths at 15:0073%100

Someone usually dies here around 6:52 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 7:18. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.

Gragas's Jungle build, with receipts

Into Graves specifically, Gragas finishes Lich Bane first most often: 50.9% over 161 games of this matchup.

The most-finished Gragas core is Lich Bane, Shadowflame, Zhonya's Hourglass: 48.9% across 421 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 16.1-16.12.

Most games start Gustwalker Hatchling + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Lich Bane (2,260 games).

Skill plan: Gragas players max Q first and take W at level 1.