MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions

Gragas vs Ahri

What is Gragas's win rate vs Ahri?

In Mid, Gragas wins 48% against Ahri across 304 observed ranked games.

Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.

By 15 minutes the median game has Gragas ahead by 43 gold.

Gragas at 15:00

Typical gap to Ahri, from 303 games that reached 15:00.

Does Gragas counter Ahri?

Too close to call. Gragas sits at 48% over 304 games, so neither pick counters the other here. The lane goes to whoever wins the spots below, like the gold lead at 10:00 or staying alive until 15:00, so play for those and let the pick argument go.

How to beat Ahri as Gragas

When Gragas is ahead in gold at 10:00, this matchup runs 59% over 147 games; behind, it drops to 38% over 157.

The spotWin rateGames
Ahead in gold at 10:0059%147
Behind in gold at 10:0038%157
First blood54%161
+kills at 10:0061%129
+CS at 10:0059%95
0 deaths at 10:0049%96

The median first death in this lane comes at 6:38; the level 6 spike lands around 5:32. Respect the all-in window until your spike is online.

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