MacroMind matchup data — real ranked games, not opinions

Elise vs Jarvan IV

How often does Elise beat Jarvan IV in Jungle?

Elise into Jarvan IV in Jungle: 48% observed win rate across 1,193 ranked games. Counted from real matches, and every number here shows its sample size.

By 15 minutes the median game is roughly even on gold.

Does Elise counter Jarvan IV?

Too close for a counter call: Elise sits at 48% over 1,193 games, inside the noise band. On this sample neither pick counters the other — the swing lives in the conditions below, so play the side you know better.

Beating Jarvan IV: the Elise game plan

A 300-gold lead at 10:00 puts Elise at 54% across 624 games. Flip the lead and Elise falls to 41% across 569.

The spotWin rateGames
300 gold up at 10:0054%624
300 gold down at 10:0041%569
First blood52%809
+kills at 10:0053%597
+CS at 10:0051%390
0 deaths at 10:0057%332
0 deaths at 15:0067%123

Someone usually dies here around 6:28 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 7:34. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.

Elise's Jungle build, with receipts

Into Jarvan IV specifically, Elise finishes Stormsurge first most often: 47.6% over 315 games of this matchup.

The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Stormsurge, Shadowflame, Zhonya's Hourglass: 47.1% across 70 games.

The most-finished Elise core is Stormsurge, Shadowflame, Zhonya's Hourglass: 52.6% across 2,296 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 16.1-16.12.

Most games start Scorchclaw Pup + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Stormsurge (9,092 games).

Skill plan: Elise players max Q first and take W at level 1.