MacroMind matchup data — real ranked games, not opinions

Elise vs Gwen

How often does Elise beat Gwen in Jungle?

Elise into Gwen in Jungle: 47% observed win rate across 281 ranked games. Counted from real matches, and every number here shows its sample size.

By 15 minutes the median game has Elise ahead by 4 gold.

Does Elise counter Gwen?

Too close for a counter call: Elise sits at 47% over 281 games, inside the noise band. On this sample neither pick counters the other — the swing lives in the conditions below, so play the side you know better.

Beating Gwen: the Elise game plan

A 300-gold lead at 10:00 puts Elise at 56% across 162 games. Flip the lead and Elise falls to 36% across 119.

The spotWin rateGames
300 gold up at 10:0056%162
300 gold down at 10:0036%119
First blood49%209
+kills at 10:0055%168
+CS at 10:0061%66
0 deaths at 10:0056%97
0 deaths at 15:0067%51

Someone usually dies here around 7:30 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 7:35. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.

Elise's Jungle build, with receipts

Into Gwen specifically, Elise finishes Stormsurge first most often: 45.6% over 90 games of this matchup.

The most-finished Elise core is Stormsurge, Shadowflame, Zhonya's Hourglass: 52.6% across 2,296 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 16.1-16.12.

Most games start Scorchclaw Pup + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Stormsurge (9,092 games).

Skill plan: Elise players max Q first and take W at level 1.