MacroMind matchup data — real ranked games, not opinions
Cassiopeia vs Lucian
What is Cassiopeia's win rate vs Lucian?
In ADC, Cassiopeia wins 53% against Lucian across 171 observed ranked games. This is an observed win rate shown with its sample size, not a prediction or a guaranteed counter.
By 15 minutes the median game has Cassiopeia ahead by 90 gold.
Does Cassiopeia counter Lucian?
The numbers call it close: 53% for Cassiopeia over 171 games, inside the noise band. Neither side counters the other on this sample — the lane swings on the spots below, so pick the side you play better and take the receipts with you.
How to beat Lucian as Cassiopeia
When Cassiopeia is 300 gold up at 10:00, this matchup runs 61% over 92 games; 300 down, it drops to 44% over 79.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| 300 gold up at 10:00 | 61% | 92 |
| 300 gold down at 10:00 | 44% | 79 |
| First blood | 56% | 91 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 58% | 78 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 60% | 82 |
The median first death in this lane comes at 4:36; the level 6 spike lands around 7:36. Respect the all-in window until your spike is online.