MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions

Caitlyn vs Samira

What is Caitlyn's win rate vs Samira?

In ADC, Caitlyn wins 50% against Samira across 5,090 observed ranked games.

Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.

By 15 minutes the median game has Caitlyn behind by 278 gold.

Caitlyn at 15:00

Typical gap to Samira, from 5,060 games that reached 15:00.

Does Caitlyn counter Samira?

Too close to call. Caitlyn sits at 50% over 5,090 games, so neither pick counters the other here. The lane goes to whoever wins the spots below, like the gold lead at 10:00 or staying alive until 15:00, so play for those and let the pick argument go.

How to beat Samira as Caitlyn

When Caitlyn is ahead in gold at 10:00, this matchup runs 63% over 2,208 games; behind, it drops to 40% over 2,881.

The spotWin rateGames
Ahead in gold at 10:0063%2,208
Behind in gold at 10:0040%2,881
First blood57%2,528
+kills at 10:0064%1,486
+CS at 10:0056%3,132
0 deaths at 10:0065%767
0 deaths at 15:0076%253

The median first death in this lane comes at 4:15; the level 6 spike lands around 7:29. Respect the all-in window until your spike is online.

What does Caitlyn build in ADC?

Into Samira specifically, Caitlyn finishes Hexoptics C44 first most often: 51.1% over 1,204 games of this matchup.

The most-finished core in this exact matchup is The Collector, Infinity Edge, Lord Dominik's Regards: 55.5% across 402 games.

The most-finished Caitlyn core is The Collector, Infinity Edge, Lord Dominik's Regards: 54.3% across 14,626 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.

Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Hexoptics C44 (47,375 games).

Skill plan: Caitlyn players max Q first and take Q at level 1.

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