MacroMind matchup data — real ranked games, not opinions
Caitlyn vs Samira
In ADC, Caitlyn wins 51% against Samira across 3,500 observed ranked games. This is an observed win rate shown with its sample size, not a prediction or a guaranteed counter.
By 15 minutes the median game has Caitlyn behind by 265 gold.
Does Caitlyn counter Samira?
The numbers call it close: 51% for Caitlyn over 3,500 games, inside the noise band. Pick the side you play better.
How to beat Samira as Caitlyn
Turn the early game into gold: 300 up at 10:00 runs this matchup at 63% over 1,535 games; 300 behind drops it to 40% over 1,965.
The median first death in this lane comes at 4:17; the level 6 spike lands around 7:30. Respect the all-in window until your spike is online.