MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions

Aurora vs Gragas

What is Aurora's win rate vs Gragas?

In Top, Aurora wins 52% against Gragas across 153 observed ranked games.

Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.

By 15 minutes the median game has Aurora ahead by 382 gold.

Aurora at 15:00

Typical gap to Gragas, from 152 games that reached 15:00.

Does Aurora counter Gragas?

Too close to call. Aurora sits at 52% over 153 games, so neither pick counters the other here. The lane goes to whoever wins the spots below, like the gold lead at 10:00 or staying alive until 15:00, so play for those and let the pick argument go.

How to beat Gragas as Aurora

When Aurora is ahead in gold at 10:00, this matchup runs 55% over 105 games; behind, it drops to 46% over 48.

The spotWin rateGames
Ahead in gold at 10:0055%105
Behind in gold at 10:0046%48
First blood58%80
+kills at 10:0064%69
+CS at 10:0056%115
0 deaths at 10:0052%60

The median first death in this lane comes at 7:35; the level 6 spike lands around 5:23. Respect the all-in window until your spike is online.

What does Aurora build in Top?

The most-finished Aurora core is Luden's Echo, Shadowflame, Rabadon's Deathcap: 56.7% across 330 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.

Most games start Doran's Ring + Health Potion + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Luden's Echo (1,970 games).

Skill plan: Aurora players max Q first and take Q at level 1.

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