MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions

Aatrox vs Varus

What is Aatrox's win rate vs Varus?

In Top, Aatrox wins 49% against Varus across 622 observed ranked games.

Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.

By 15 minutes the median game has Aatrox behind by 82 gold.

Aatrox at 15:00

Typical gap to Varus, from 616 games that reached 15:00.

Does Aatrox counter Varus?

Too close to call. Aatrox sits at 49% over 622 games, so neither pick counters the other here. The lane goes to whoever wins the spots below, like the gold lead at 10:00 or staying alive until 15:00, so play for those and let the pick argument go.

How to beat Varus as Aatrox

When Aatrox is ahead in gold at 10:00, this matchup runs 60% over 278 games; behind, it drops to 40% over 343.

The spotWin rateGames
Ahead in gold at 10:0060%278
Behind in gold at 10:0040%343
First blood56%335
+kills at 10:0057%290
+CS at 10:0062%179
0 deaths at 10:0068%105
0 deaths at 15:0079%47

The median first death in this lane comes at 5:09; the level 6 spike lands around 5:32. Respect the all-in window until your spike is online.

What does Aatrox build in Top?

Into Varus specifically, Aatrox finishes Eclipse first most often: 54.0% over 100 games of this matchup.

The most-finished Aatrox core is Spear of Shojin, Sundered Sky, Death's Dance: 58.3% across 1,375 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.

Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Spear of Shojin (14,379 games).

Skill plan: Aatrox players max Q first and take Q at level 1.

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